Are rational explosive solutions learnable?

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2017
Volume: 157
Issue: C
Pages: 62-66

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

It is commonly believed that rational explosive solutions are unstable or fragile under adaptive learning. Contrary to this belief, the paper shows that under realistic parameterizations, rational explosive solutions are both E-stable and strongly E-stable in a class of models with lagged endogenous variables. It also establishes the convergence of least squares learning process to explosive solutions. Taking a simple Cagan model of inflation as an application, the paper shows that money supply feedback rule gives rise to a rational explosive solution for prices which is learnable in real time. This provides a new potential explanation for historical high inflation. Finally, E-stability results for non-MSV explosive solutions are provided.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:157:y:2017:i:c:p:62-66
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25