Estimation Risk, Information, and the Conditional CAPM: Theory and Evidence

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2008
Volume: 21
Issue: 3
Pages: 1037-1075

Authors (4)

Praveen Kumar (University of Houston) Sorin M. Sorescu (not in RePEc) Rodney D. Boehme (not in RePEc) Bartley R. Danielsen (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We theoretically and empirically investigate the role of information on the cross section of stock returns and firms' cost of capital when investors face estimation risk and learn from noisy signals of uncertain quality. The resultant equilibrium is an information-dependent conditional CAPM. We find strong empirical support for the model. Innovations in market volatility, oil prices, exchange rates, and dispersion of analysts' forecasts not only help explain the cross section of stock returns, but their influence depends on the stock's systematic estimation risk. Moreover, dividend and share repurchase initiations have significant downward announcement effects on estimated betas and their standard errors. The Author 2008. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected], Oxford University Press.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:21:y:2008:i:3:p:1037-1075
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25