Spurious Break

B-Tier
Journal: Econometric Theory
Year: 1995
Volume: 11
Issue: 4
Pages: 736-749

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

A quasi-maximum likelihood estimator of the break date is analyzed. Consistency of the estimator is demonstrated under very general conditions, provided that the data-generating process is not integrated. However, the asymptotic distribution of the estimator is quite different for time series that are integrated of order one. In that case, when there is no break, the analyst can be spuriously led to the estimation of a break near the middle of the time series.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:etheor:v:11:y:1995:i:04:p:736-749_00
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25