Model risk of expected shortfall

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2019
Volume: 105
Issue: C
Pages: 74-93

Authors (2)

Lazar, Emese (University of Reading) Zhang, Ning (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper we propose to measure the model risk of Expected Shortfall as the optimal correction needed to pass several ES backtests, and investigate the properties of our proposed measures of model risk from a regulatory perspective. Our results show that for the DJIA index, the smallest corrections are required for the ES estimates built using GARCH models. Furthermore, the 2.5% ES requires smaller corrections for model risk than the 1% VaR, which advocates the replacement of VaR with ES as recommended by the Basel Committee. Also, if the model risk of VaR is taken into account, then the corrections made to the ES estimates reduce by 50% on average.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:105:y:2019:i:c:p:74-93
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25