Debt Overhang, Rollover Risk, and Corporate Investment: Evidence from the European Crisis

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of the European Economic Association
Year: 2022
Volume: 20
Issue: 6
Pages: 2353-2395

Authors (3)

Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan (not in RePEc) Luc Laeven (European Central Bank) David Moreno (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We quantify the role of financial leverage behind the sluggish post-crisis investment performance of European firms. We use a cross-country firm-bank matched database to identify separate roles for firm leverage, bank balance sheet weaknesses arising from sovereign risk, and aggregate demand conditions. We find that firms entering the crisis with higher debt levels reduce their investment more after the crisis. This negative effect is stronger for firms holding short-term debt in countries whose banks are weak due to sovereign stress, consistent with rollover risk being an important channel influencing investment. The negative effect of firm leverage on investment is also persistent for several years after the shock in the countries with sovereign stress. The corporate leverage channel can explain about 20% of the cumulative decline in aggregate private sector investment over the crisis period.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:jeurec:v:20:y:2022:i:6:p:2353-2395.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25