Data‐Driven Identification Constraints for DSGE Models

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2018
Volume: 80
Issue: 2
Pages: 236-258

Authors (2)

Markku Lanne (Helsingin Yliopisto) Jani Luoto (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose imposing data‐driven identification constraints to alleviate the multimodality problem arising in the estimation of poorly identified dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models under non‐informative prior distributions. We also devise an iterative procedure based on the posterior density of the parameters for finding these constraints. An empirical application to the Smets and Wouters () model demonstrates the properties of the estimation method, and shows how the problem of multimodal posterior distributions caused by parameter redundancy is eliminated by identification constraints. Out‐of‐sample forecast comparisons as well as Bayes factors lend support to the constrained model.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:80:y:2018:i:2:p:236-258
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25