Expenditure and confidence: using daily data to identify shocks to consumer confidence

C-Tier
Journal: Oxford Economic Papers
Year: 2016
Volume: 68
Issue: 4
Pages: 920-944

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The importance of consumer confidence in stimulating economic activity is a disputed issue in macroeconomics. Do changes in confidence represent autonomous fluctuations in optimism, independent of information on economic fundamentals, or are they a reflection of economic news? This article uses novel daily data to understand what can be learned about the dynamics of consumer confidence and spending. In contrast to the existing literature that uses data collected at lower frequencies, I find that the estimated relationship between daily consumer confidence and daily spending is weak. I interpret this finding as an indication that on a day-to-day basis, consumers are rationally inattentive and do not react to small and temporary fluctuations in consumer confidence.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:oxecpp:v:68:y:2016:i:4:p:920-944.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25