What Difference Does a Health Plan Make? Evidence from Random Plan Assignment in Medicaid

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2023
Volume: 15
Issue: 3
Pages: 341-79

Authors (3)

Michael Geruso (not in RePEc) Timothy J. Layton (Harvard University) Jacob Wallace (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Exploiting the random assignment of Medicaid beneficiaries to managed care plans, we find substantial plan-specific spending effects despite plans having identical cost sharing. Enrollment in the lowest-spending plan reduces spending by at least 25 percent—primarily through quantity reductions—relative to enrollment in the highest-spending plan. Rather than reducing "wasteful" spending, lower-spending plans broadly reduce medical service provision—including the provision of low-cost, high-value care—and worsen beneficiary satisfaction and health. Consumer demand follows spending: a 10 percent increase in plan-specific spending is associated with a 40 percent increase in market share. These facts have implications for the government's contracting problem and program cost growth.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejapp:v:15:y:2023:i:3:p:341-79
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25