MODEL SELECTION AND INFERENCE: FACTS AND FICTION

B-Tier
Journal: Econometric Theory
Year: 2005
Volume: 21
Issue: 1
Pages: 21-59

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Model selection has an important impact on subsequent inference. Ignoring the model selection step leads to invalid inference. We discuss some intricate aspects of data-driven model selection that do not seem to have been widely appreciated in the literature. We debunk some myths about model selection, in particular the myth that consistent model selection has no effect on subsequent inference asymptotically. We also discuss an “impossibility” result regarding the estimation of the finite-sample distribution of post-model-selection estimators.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:etheor:v:21:y:2005:i:01:p:21-59_05
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25