Disaster risk and asset returns: An international perspective

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Economics
Year: 2017
Volume: 108
Issue: S1
Pages: S42-S58

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Recent studies have shown that disaster risk can generate asset return moments similar to those observed in the U.S. data. However, these studies have ignored the cross-country asset pricing implications of the disaster risk model. This paper shows that standard U.S.-based disaster risk model assumptions found in the literature lead to counterfactual international asset pricing implications. Given consumption pricing moments, disaster risk from this literature cannot explain the range of equity premia and government bill rates. Furthermore, the independence of disasters presumed in some studies generates counterfactually low cross-country correlations in equity markets. Alternatively, if disasters are all shared, the model generates correlations that are excessively high. We show that common and idiosyncratic components of disaster risk are needed to explain the pattern in consumption and equity co-movements.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:inecon:v:108:y:2017:i:s1:p:s42-s58
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25