Using Electoral Cycles in Police Hiring to Estimate the Effect of Police on Crime.

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 1997
Volume: 87
Issue: 3
Pages: 270-90

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Previous empirical studies have uncovered little evidence that police reduce crime, possibly due to simultaneity problems. This paper uses the timing of mayoral and gubernatorial elections as an instrument variable to identify a causal effect of police on crime. Increases in the size of police forces are shown to be disproportionately concentrated in mayoral and gubernatorial election years. Increases in police are shown to substantially reduce violent crime but have a smaller impact on property crime. The null hypothesis that the marginal social benefit of reduced crime equals the costs of hiring additional police cannot be rejected. Copyright 1997 by American Economic Association.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:87:y:1997:i:3:p:270-90
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25