How Information Quality of Macro Aggregates Affects Sovereign Risk: An Empirical Investigation

B-Tier
Journal: Review of International Economics
Year: 2009
Volume: 17
Issue: 3
Pages: 510-532

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper looks at the relationship between data quality of macro aggregates and the repayment ratio for debt payments due in a given year after a country defaults. We find empirical evidence that good information of macro aggregates reduces sovereign risk by enhancing the repayment ratio conditional on default, while having an insignificant effect on the default probability. The estimation accounts for selection bias by using a cross‐country panel data of 69 developing countries for 1989–2002. Careful consideration is taken to establish information quality of macro aggregates as an exogenous institutional variable. Results are robust to controlling for various governance factors, income levels, and regional factors, etc. Linking information quality to creditors' bargaining power is more consistent with our findings than linking poor information quality to information asymmetry.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:reviec:v:17:y:2009:i:3:p:510-532
Journal Field
International
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25