Re‐examining investor sentiment and stock returns: A replication and extension of Baker and Wurgler (2006)

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Inquiry
Year: 2026
Volume: 64
Issue: 1
Pages: 88-119

Authors (5)

Kaiwen Leong (not in RePEc) Dan Li (not in RePEc) Huailu Li (Fudan University) Chuangwei Peng (not in RePEc) Zhanyu Xu (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.201 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study replicates and extends Baker and Wurgler's (2006) analysis on investor sentiment's impact on stock returns. We confirm their findings by demonstrating the significant cross‐sectional effect of sentiment in both their original sample (1963–2002) and a new sample (2002–2023). Expanding the scope, we introduce a monthly sentiment measure and analyze the U.S. market (2002–2023) and the Chinese market. Our results show that the predictive strength of sentiment indicators can shift or invert over time. In the Chinese market, sentiment's expected cross‐sectional effects disappear when foundational conditions, such as stock valuation variance, are not met.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:ecinqu:v:64:y:2026:i:1:p:88-119
Journal Field
General
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-25