News Shocks and the Production-Based Term Structure of Equity Returns

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2018
Volume: 31
Issue: 7
Pages: 2423-2467

Authors (4)

Hengjie Ai (not in RePEc) Mariano Max Croce (not in RePEc) Anthony M Diercks (not in RePEc) Kai Li (Peking University)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a production-based general equilibrium model to study the link between timing of cash flows and expected returns, both in the cross-section of stocks and along the aggregate equity term structure. Our model incorporates long-run growth news with time-varying volatility and slow learning about the exposure that firms have with respect to these shocks. Our framework provides a unified explanation of the stylized features of the slope of the term structure of equity returns, its variations over the business cycle, and the negative relationship between cash-flow duration and expected returns in the cross-section of book-to-market-sorted portfolios. Received May 27, 2017; editorial decision October 12, 2017 by Editor Itay Goldstein.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:31:y:2018:i:7:p:2423-2467.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25