One Swallow Doesn't Make a Summer: New Evidence on Anchoring Effects

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2014
Volume: 104
Issue: 1
Pages: 277-90

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Some researchers have argued that anchoring in economic valuations casts doubt on the assumption of consistent and stable preferences. We present new evidence that explores the strength of certain anchoring results. We then present a theoretical framework that provides insights into why we should be cautious of initial empirical findings in general. The model importantly highlights that the rate of false positives depends not only on the observed significance level, but also on statistical power, research priors, and the number of scholars exploring the question. Importantly, a few independent replications dramatically increase the chances that the original finding is true.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:104:y:2014:i:1:p:277-90
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25