The association between consensus of beliefs and trading activity surrounding earnings announcements

B-Tier
Journal: Review of Finance
Year: 2021
Volume: 25
Issue: 6
Pages: 1859-1900

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Theoretical models have long recognized the role of investor disagreements in the marketplace, but little evidence is documented regarding how belief dispersion affects trading activities in the broad equity market. Using over three decades of data from a survey of US households, we introduced a novel measure of household macroeconomic belief dispersion and document its positive relationship with market-wide stock trading volume, even after controlling for an array of professional analysts’ belief dispersion. Results are more pronounced for the belief dispersion among households who are more likely to own stocks. Furthermore, we show that the household belief dispersion is priced in the cross-section of stock returns, whereas that among professional analysts is not.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:revfin:v:25:y:2021:i:6:p:1859-1900.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25