Macroeconomic Frameworks: Reconciling Evidence and Model Predictions from Demand Shocks

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Year: 2024
Volume: 16
Issue: 3
Pages: 190-229

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

How do demand shocks affect the economy? We exploit detailed data on US defense spending to examine a large set of outcome variables in response to well-identified local demand shocks, jointly examining new outcomes (e.g., firm entry and housing rents) and other key macroeconomic outcomes and elasticities that previously have been estimated separately or in settings with weaker identification. We find that government spending crowds in employment, firm entry, private consumption, and labor productivity while also increasing local housing rents. To reconcile the evidence with theory, we study a model of economic slack.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmac:v:16:y:2024:i:3:p:190-229
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24