Continuing Overreaction and Stock Return Predictability

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Year: 2016
Volume: 51
Issue: 6
Pages: 2015-2046

Authors (3)

Byun, Suk Joon (not in RePEc) Lim, Sonya S. (DePaul University) Yun, Sang Hyun (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the return predictability of a measure of continuing overreaction based on the weighted average of signed volumes. We find that the strategies of buying stocks with upward continuing overreaction and selling stocks with downward continuing overreaction generate significant positive returns and that our measure of continuing overreaction is a better predictor of future returns than past returns. The results are stronger among stocks primarily held by investors more prone to biased self-attribution. Our results provide direct support for the model of return predictability based on overconfidence and biased self-attribution.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jfinqa:v:51:y:2016:i:06:p:2015-2046_00
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25