Risk-Neutral Skewness, Informed Trading, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Year: 2021
Volume: 56
Issue: 5
Pages: 1713-1737

Authors (3)

Chordia, Tarun (not in RePEc) Lin, Tse-Chun (University of Hong Kong) Xiang, Vincent (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this article, we use volatility surface data from options contracts to document a strong, robust, and positive cross-sectional relation between risk-neutral skewness (RNS) and subsequent stock returns. The differential return between high- and low-RNS stocks amounts to 0.17% per week. Preannouncement RNS is positively related to earnings announcement returns, and the positive RNS–return relation is more pronounced for other nonscheduled news releases. This suggests that it is informed trading that drives the positive relation between RNS and subsequent stock returns. We also find that RNS contains incremental information beyond trading signals captured by option-implied volatility and volume.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jfinqa:v:56:y:2021:i:5:p:1713-1737_7
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25