Why do options prices predict stock returns? Evidence from analyst tipping

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2015
Volume: 52
Issue: C
Pages: 17-28

Authors (2)

Lin, Tse-Chun (University of Hong Kong) Lu, Xiaolong (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the role of analysts and options traders in the information transmission between options and stock markets. We first show that the predictive power of option implied volatilities (IVs) on stock returns more than doubles around analyst-related events, indicating that a significant proportion of the options predictability on stock returns comes from informed options traders’ information about upcoming analyst-related news. We examine three explanations for this finding: tipping, reverse tipping and common information. We find that analyst tipping to options traders is the most consistent explanation of these predictive patterns.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:52:y:2015:i:c:p:17-28
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25