The domino effect of credit defaults: test of asymmetric default correlations using realised default data

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2018
Volume: 50
Issue: 44
Pages: 4803-4813

Authors (2)

Leon Li (University of Waikato) Carl Chen (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using the research framework of a domino effect in firms, we first make theoretical contributions by addressing several testable hypotheses regarding asymmetrical default correlations. We then employ Lucas’s method to provide empirical evidence based on realised historical default data in the United States from 1992 to 2013. Our empirical results are consistent with the following notions. First, default correlations increase with the time horizon. Second, firms with low credit quality, small size, illiquidity, and a high beta exhibit higher default correlations. Credit risk management without considering asymmetrical default correlations could underestimate portfolio risk due to default clustering.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:44:p:4803-4813
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25