Forecasting volatility in the Chinese stock market under model uncertainty

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2013
Volume: 35
Issue: C
Pages: 231-234

Authors (3)

Li, Yong (Renmin University of China) Huang, Wei-Ping (not in RePEc) Zhang, Jie (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Volatility forecasting is an important issue in empirical finance. In this paper, the main purpose is to apply the model averaging techniques to reduce volatility model uncertainty and improve volatility forecasting. Six GARCH-type models are considered as candidate models for model averaging. As to the Chinese stock market, the largest emerging market in the world, the empirical study shows that forecast combination using model averaging can be a better approach than the individual forecasts.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:35:y:2013:i:c:p:231-234
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25