Growth in the shadow of debt

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2019
Volume: 103
Issue: C
Pages: 98-112

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper revisits the relationship between debt and growth from a vantage point that considers the totality of private and public debt. We exploit quarter-long timing lags inherent in the response of borrowing to innovations in output to identify the effects of debt on growth in a panel vector autoregressive model. We verify that debt accumulation is negatively related to output growth, with a one standard deviation innovation in the former leading to a 0.2 percentage-point contraction in the latter. This result is robust to the inclusion of exogenous variables in the system, alternative measures of the endogenous variables, and varying temporal treatments. We also find variations depending on the type of debt accumulated, the specific subset of countries considered, and the channels along which debt expansion operates.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:103:y:2019:i:c:p:98-112
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25