As certain as debt and taxes: Estimating the tax sensitivity of leverage from state tax changes

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2015
Volume: 118
Issue: 3
Pages: 684-712

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using staggered corporate income tax changes across U.S. states, we show that taxes have a first-order effect on capital structure. Firms increase leverage by around 40 basis points for every percentage-point tax increase. Consistent with dynamic tradeoff theory, the effect is asymmetric: leverage does not respond to tax cuts. This is true even within-firm: tax increases that are later reversed nonetheless lead to permanent leverage increases. The treatment effects are heterogeneous and confirm the tax channel: tax sensitivity is greater among profitable and investment-grade firms which respectively have a greater marginal tax benefit and lower marginal cost of issuing debt.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:118:y:2015:i:3:p:684-712
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25