Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2022
Volume: 112
Issue: 5
Pages: 1437-74

Authors (4)

Veronica Guerrieri (not in RePEc) Guido Lorenzoni (Northwestern University) Ludwig Straub (Harvard University) Iván Werning (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Motivated by the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, we present a theory of Keynesian supply shocks: shocks that reduce potential output in a sector of the economy, but that, by reducing demand in other sectors, ultimately push aggregate activity below potential. A Keynesian supply shock is more likely when the elasticity of substitution between sectors is relatively low, the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is relatively high, and markets are incomplete. Fiscal policy can display a smaller multiplier, but the insurance benefit of fiscal transfers can be enhanced. Firm exits and job destruction can amplify and propagate the shock.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:112:y:2022:i:5:p:1437-74
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25