Fed's Policy Changes and Inflation in Emerging Markets: Lessons from the Taper Tantrum

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2022
Volume: 54
Issue: 4
Pages: 1099-1121

Authors (2)

ANTONIA LÓPEZ‐VILLAVICENCIO (not in RePEc) MARC POURROY (Université de Poitiers)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We use the taper tantrum to measure the effects of a sudden depreciation of the exchange rate. We treat this announcement in the United States of America as an exogenous shock in emerging markets and use a difference‐in‐differences approach. We show that, before the tantrum, the impact of exchange rate changes on inflation is low in both the control and the treatment groups. However, the tantrum increased the gap between groups and impacted inflation regardless of the exchange rate regime or central bank practices. Nevertheless, inflation in economies with flexible exchange rate, inflation target, or highly credible central bank is less exposed to depreciations.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:54:y:2022:i:4:p:1099-1121
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25