Confidence Bands for Impulse Responses: Bonferroni vs. Wald

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2015
Volume: 77
Issue: 6
Pages: 800-821

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="obes12114-abs-0001"> <title type="main">Abstract</title> <p>In impulse response analysis estimation uncertainty is typically displayed by constructing bands around estimated impulse response functions. If they are based on the joint asymptotic distribution possibly constructed with bootstrap methods in a frequentist framework, often individual confidence intervals are simply connected to obtain the bands. Such bands are known to be too narrow and have a joint coverage probability lower than the desired one. If instead the Wald statistic is used and the joint bootstrap distribution of the impulse response coefficient estimators is taken into account and mapped into the band, it is shown that such a band is typically rather conservative. It is argued that, by using the Bonferroni method, a band can often be obtained which is smaller than the Wald band.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:77:y:2015:i:6:p:800-821
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25