Avoiding Unintentionally Correlated Shocks in Proxy Vector Autoregressive Analysis

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Year: 2025
Volume: 43
Issue: 4
Pages: 1119-1131

Authors (3)

Martin Bruns (not in RePEc) Helmut Lütkepohl (DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut...) James McNeil (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Noting that the shocks in vector autoregressive models can be correlated if a number of shocks is identified individually by multiple proxy variables, we propose a Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach for estimation that enforces uncorrelated shocks. We point out that if each proxy identifies exactly one shock and is uncorrelated with all other shocks, uncorrelatedness of the shocks provides over-identifying restrictions that can be used in our approach to improve the estimation efficiency of the structural parameters. It also opens up the possibility to use Hansen’s J-test to check the model specification. Our method generalizes other GMM proposals that work under more restrictive assumptions. We illustrate its usefulness by two empirical examples from the recent literature.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:jnlbes:v:43:y:2025:i:4:p:1119-1131
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25