Efficient Quasi-Bayesian Estimation of Affine Option Pricing Models Using Risk-Neutral Cumulants

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2023
Volume: 148
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Brignone, Riccardo (not in RePEc) Gonzato, Luca (not in RePEc) Lütkebohmert, Eva (Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Fr...)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a general, accurate and fast econometric approach for the estimation of affine option pricing models. The algorithm belongs to the class of Laplace-Type Estimation (LTE) techniques and exploits Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. We employ functions of the risk-neutral cumulants given in closed form to marginalize latent states, and we address parameter estimation by designing a density tempered SMC sampler. We test our algorithm on simulated data by tackling the challenging inference problem of estimating an option pricing model which displays two stochastic volatility factors, allows for co-jumps between price and volatility, and stochastic jump intensity. Furthermore, we consider real data and estimate the model on a large panel of option prices. Numerical studies confirm the accuracy of our estimates and the superiority of the proposed approach compared to its natural benchmark.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:148:y:2023:i:c:s0378426622003259
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25