Time-varying variance and skewness in realized volatility measures

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Year: 2023
Volume: 39
Issue: 2
Pages: 827-840

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose new empirical models to capture the dynamics of the variance and skewness in realized volatility measures. We find that time-variation in variance and skewness of realized measures is a key empirical feature, even after accounting for well-known, stylized facts such as long-memory-type persistence and large incidental observations. Using a broad range of 89 US stocks across different sectors over 2001–2019, we show that these are not incidental phenomena of a few stocks but are widely shared. Accounting for dynamics in the variance and skewness of realized measures results in significantly better in-sample fit and out-of-sample unconditional density and quantile forecasts.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:intfor:v:39:y:2023:i:2:p:827-840
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25