The Welfare Cost of Perceived Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Social Security

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2018
Volume: 108
Issue: 2
Pages: 275-307

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Policy uncertainty reduces individual welfare when individuals have limited opportunities to mitigate or insure against the resulting consumption fluctuations. We field an original survey to measure the degree of perceived policy uncertainty in Social Security benefits and to estimate the impact of this uncertainty on individual welfare. Our central estimates show that on average individuals are willing to forgo 6 percent of the benefits they are supposed to get under current law to remove the policy uncertainty associated with their future Social Security benefits. This translates to a risk premium from policy uncertainty equal to 10 percent of expected benefits.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:108:y:2018:i:2:p:275-307
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25