Modelling the general public's inflation expectations using the Michigan survey data

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2009
Volume: 41
Issue: 10
Pages: 1311-1320

Authors (2)

Arto Luoma (not in RePEc) Jani Luoto (Helsingin Yliopisto)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this article we discuss a few models developed to explain the general public's inflation expectations formation and provide some relevant estimation results. Furthermore, we suggest a simple Bayesian learning model which could explain the expectations formation process on the individual level. When the model is aggregated to the population level it could explain not only the mean values, but also the variance of the public's inflation expectations. The estimation results of the mean and variance equations seem to be consistent with the results of the questionnaire studies in which the respondents were asked to report their thoughts and opinions about inflation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1311-1320
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25