Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Central Banking
Year: 2020
Volume: 16
Issue: 2
Pages: 153-201

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited countryand variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and macroeconomic variables. More communication even increases forecast errors and dispersion.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ijc:ijcjou:y:2020:q:1:a:5
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25