Who Can Tell Which Banks Will Fail?

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2024
Volume: 37
Issue: 9
Pages: 2685-2731

Authors (3)

Kristian Blickle (not in RePEc) Markus Brunnermeier (not in RePEc) Stephan Luck (Federal Reserve Bank of New Yo...)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the run on the German banking system in 1931 to understand whether depositors anticipate which banks will fail in a major financial crisis. We find that deposits decline by around 20% during the run. There is an equal outflow of retail and nonfinancial wholesale deposits from both failing and surviving banks. In contrast, we find that interbank deposits almost exclusively decline for failing banks. Our evidence suggests that banks are better informed about which fellow banks will fail. In turn, banks being informed allows the interbank market to continue providing liquidity even during times of severe financial distress.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:37:y:2024:i:9:p:2685-2731.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25