Inflation illusion and the Taylor principle: An experimental study

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2014
Volume: 45
Issue: C
Pages: 94-110

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a simple experimental setting to evaluate the role of the Taylor principle, which holds that the nominal interest rate has to respond more than one-for-one to fluctuations in the inflation rate to exert a stabilizing effect. In our setting, the average inflation rate fluctuates around the inflation target if the computerized central bank obeys the Taylor principle. If the Taylor principle is violated, the average inflation rate persistently deviates from the target. These deviations from the target are less pronounced, if inflation rates cannot be as readily observed as nominal interest rates. This result is consistent with the interpretation that subjects underestimate the influence of inflation on the real return to savings if the inflation rate is only observed ex post.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:45:y:2014:i:c:p:94-110
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25