Getting at Systemic Risk via an Agent-Based Model of the Housing Market

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2012
Volume: 102
Issue: 3
Pages: 53-58

Authors (9)

John Geanakoplos (not in RePEc) Robert Axtell (George Mason University-Depart...) J. Doyne Farmer (Oxford University) Peter Howitt (Brown University) Benjamin Conlee (not in RePEc) Jonathan Goldstein (not in RePEc) Matthew Hendrey (not in RePEc) Nathan M. Palmer (Federal Reserve Board (Board o...) Chun-Yi Yang (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.894 = (α=2.01 / 9 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Systemic risk must include the housing market, though economists have not generally focused on it. We begin construction of an agent-based model of the housing market with individual data from Washington, DC. Twenty years of success with agent-based models of mortgage prepayments give us hope that such a model could be useful. Preliminary analysis suggests that the housing boom and bust of 1997-2007 was due in large part to changes in leverage rather than interest rates.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:102:y:2012:i:3:p:53-58
Journal Field
General
Author Count
9
Added to Database
2026-01-24