Optimal normalization policy under behavioral expectations

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2025
Volume: 153
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Carrier, Alexandre (not in RePEc) Mavromatis, Kostas (de Nederlandsche Bank)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We characterize optimal normalization policy in a framework in which agents’ expectations can deviate from the rational expectations benchmark and the central bank faces cost-push shocks. When interest rate fluctuations are costless, our findings indicate that the interest rate is the primary tool for managing inflationary pressures, consistently outperforming balance sheet adjustments, regardless of the expectations formation process. However, under de-anchored expectations, an increasing role for balance sheet management arises when interest rate fluctuations become costly. Finally, our analysis reveals that expectations significantly influence the optimal interest rate trajectory, whereas their impact on the optimal balance sheet path is comparatively minimal.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:153:y:2025:i:c:s0304393225000571
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25