Score contribution per author:
α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count
Energy forecasting is a hazardous occupation. Virtually any pro- jection is doomed to be incorrect. Opinions can swing from one extreme to another during a six-month period. Our paper is not intended to provide still another projection, but rather to try to explain why different individuals and organizations arrive at divergent views on the long-term energy outlook-and therefore differ on policy decisions.