Do FX interventions lead to higher FX debt? Evidence from firm-level data

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2024
Volume: 148
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Kim, Minsuk (not in RePEc) Mano, Rui C. (International Monetary Fund (I...) Mrkaic, Mico (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Central banks often buy or sell reserves—so called FX interventions (FXIs)—to dampen sharp exchange rate movements caused by volatile capital flows. At the same time, these interventions may entail unintended side effects. In this paper, we investigate whether FXIs incentivize firms to take on more unhedged FX debt, thereby increasing medium-term corporate vulnerabilities. Using a novel dataset with close to 5,000 nonfinancial firms across 19 emerging markets covering 2002–2017, we find that the firm-level share of FX debt rises following intensive use of FXIs, particularly for non-exporting firms in shallow financial markets with no FX debt to begin with. The magnitude of this effect is economically significant, with one standard deviation increase in the intensity of FXI leading to an average 2 percentage points increase in the FX debt share. For reference, the median share of FX debt in the sample is zero.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:148:y:2024:i:c:s0261560624001475
Journal Field
International
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25