Misinformed Speculators and Mispricing in the Housing Market

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2016
Volume: 29
Issue: 2
Pages: 486-522

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper examines the contribution of out-of-town second-house buyers to mispricing in the housing market. We show that demand from out-of-town second-house buyers during the mid 2000s predicted not only house-price appreciation rates but also implied-to-actual-rent-ratio appreciation rates, a proxy for mispricing. We then apply a novel identification strategy to address the issue of reverse causality. We give supporting evidence that out-of-town second-house buyers behaved like misinformed speculators, earning lower capital gains (misinformed) and consuming smaller dividends (speculators). Received August 4, 2014; accepted August 28, 2015 by Editor Stefan Nagel.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:29:y:2016:i:2:p:486-522.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25