Expectations Formation and Risk in Three Financial Markets: Surveying What the Surveys Say

C-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Surveys
Year: 2000
Volume: 14
Issue: 1
Pages: 69-100

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper attempts to provide a logical overview of the literature which exploits survey data to examine issues of expectations formation and risk aversion in financial markets. Our survey suggests that: short term expectations are excessively volatile and exhibit bandwagon effects, while longer term expectations appear to be regressive and therefore stabilising; in bond and foreign exchange markets the standard result of forward rate biasedness is due in part to time‐varying premia; recent research using disaggregate foreign exchange survey data demonstrates the importance of heterogeneous expectations.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jecsur:v:14:y:2000:i:1:p:69-100
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25