Real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials: A present value interpretation

B-Tier
Journal: European Economic Review
Year: 2009
Volume: 53
Issue: 8
Pages: 952-970

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Although the real exchange rate-real interest rate (RERI) relationship is central to most open economy macroeconomic models, empirical support for the relationship is generally found to be rather weak. In this paper we re-investigate the RERI relationship using bilateral US real exchange rate data spanning the period 1978-2007. Instead of testing one particular model, we build on Campbell and Shiller [1987. Cointegration tests of present-value models. Journal of Political Economy 95, 1062-1088] to propose a metric of the economic significance of the relationship. Our empirical results provide robust evidence that the RERI link is economically significant and that the real interest rate differential is a reasonable approximation of the expected rate of depreciation over longer horizons.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eecrev:v:53:y:2009:i:8:p:952-970
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25