Volatility risk premia and future commodity returns

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2019
Volume: 96
Issue: C
Pages: 341-360

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper extends the empirical literature on volatility risk premium (VRP) and future returns by analyzing the predictive ability of commodity currency VRP and commodity VRP. The empirical evidence throughout this paper provides support for a positive relationship of commodity currencies VRP and future commodity returns, but only for the period after the 2008 global financial crisis. This predictability survives the inclusion of control variables like equity VRP and past currency returns. Furthermore, gold VRP also has the ability to predict future commodity returns. However, this predictability is restricted to precious metals when control variables are considered.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:96:y:2019:i:c:p:341-360
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25