Uncertain policy regimes and government spending effects

B-Tier
Journal: European Economic Review
Year: 2023
Volume: 152
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Money financing returns to policy debate as governments around the world adopted massive fiscal measures during the pandemic. Using a fully nonlinear New Keynesian model with endogenous policy regime switching, we show that a moderate inflation-driven switching probability to a debt-financing regime reduces money-financed spending multipliers. When interacted with high government debt, money-financed spending multipliers fall below one, similar to the size of debt-financed spending multipliers. This result holds at the zero lower bound, with long-term government debt, and under a wide range of key parameter values. Policy regime uncertainty, on the other hand, has little effect on debt-financed spending multipliers.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eecrev:v:152:y:2023:i:c:s0014292122002100
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25