The Impact of Renewable Energy Generation on the Spot Market Price in Germany: Ex-Post Analysis using Boosting Method

B-Tier
Journal: The Energy Journal
Year: 2021
Volume: 42
Issue: 1_suppl
Pages: 1-22

Authors (5)

Alexander Ryota Keeley (not in RePEc) Ken’ichi Matsumoto (not in RePEc) Kenta Tanaka (not in RePEc) Yogi Sugiawan (not in RePEc) Shunsuke Managi (Kyushu University)

Score contribution per author:

0.402 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study combines regression analysis with machine learning analysis to study the merit order effect of renewable energy focusing on German market, the largest market in Europe with high renewable energy penetration. The results show that electricity from wind and solar sources reduced the spot market price by 9.64 €/MWh on average during the period from 2010 to 2017. Wind had a relatively stable impact across the day, ranging from 5.88 €/MWh to 8.04 €/MWh, while the solar energy impact varied greatly across different hours, ranging from 0.24 €/MWh to 11.78 €/MWh and having a stronger impact than wind during peak hours. The results also show characteristics of the interactions between renewable energy and spot market prices, including the slightly diminishing merit order effect of renewable energy at high generation volumes. Finally, a scenario-based analysis illustrates how different proportions of wind and solar energies affect the spot market price

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:sae:enejou:v:42:y:2021:i:1_suppl:p:1-22
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-25