Trends in Rainfall and Economic Growth in Africa: A Neglected Cause of the African Growth Tragedy

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2010
Volume: 92
Issue: 2
Pages: 350-366

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We examine the role of rainfall trends in poor growth performance of sub-Saharan African nations relative to other developing countries, using a new cross-country panel climatic data set in an empirical economic growth framework. Our results show that rainfall has been a significant determinant of poor economic growth for African nations but not for other countries. Depending on the benchmark measure of potential rainfall, we estimate that the direct impact under the scenario of no decline in rainfall would have resulted in a reduction of between around 15% and 40% of today's gap in African GDP per capita relative to the rest of the developing world. © 2010 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:92:y:2010:i:2:p:350-366
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24