On the informational role of term structure in the US monetary policy rule

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2013
Volume: 37
Issue: 9
Pages: 1852-1871

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper uses a structural approach based on the indirect inference principle to estimate a standard version of the new Keynesian monetary (NKM) model augmented with term structure using both revised and real-time data. The estimation results show that the term spread and policy inertia are both important determinants of the US estimated monetary policy rule whereas the persistence of shocks plays a small but significant role when revised and real-time data of output and inflation are both considered. More importantly, the relative importance of term spread and persistent shocks in the policy rule and the shock transmission mechanism drastically change when it is taken into account that real-time data are not well behaved.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:37:y:2013:i:9:p:1852-1871
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25