Evaluation of different hedging strategies for commodity price risks of industrial cogeneration plants

B-Tier
Journal: Energy Policy
Year: 2013
Volume: 59
Issue: C
Pages: 143-160

Authors (3)

Palzer, Andreas (not in RePEc) Westner, Günther (not in RePEc) Madlener, Reinhard (Rheinisch-Westfälische Technis...)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper, we design and evaluate eight different strategies for hedging commodity price risks of industrial cogeneration plants. Price developments are parameterized based on EEX data from 2008 to 2011. The probability distributions derived are used to determine the value-at-risk (VaR) of the individual strategies, which are in a final step combined in a mean-variance portfolio analysis for determining the most efficient hedging strategy. We find that the strategy adopted can have a marked influence on the remaining price risk. Quarter futures are found to be particularly well suited for reducing market price risk. In contrast, spot trading of CO2 certificates is found to be preferable compared to forward market trading. Finally, portfolio optimization shows that a mix of various hedging strategies can further improve the profitability of a heat-based cogeneration plant.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:enepol:v:59:y:2013:i:c:p:143-160
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26