Sudden Stops, Financial Crises, and Leverage

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2010
Volume: 100
Issue: 5
Pages: 1941-66

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Financial crashes were followed by deep recessions in the Sudden Stops of emerging economies. An equilibrium business cycle model with a collateral constraint explains this phenomenon as a result of the amplification and asymmetry that the constraint induces in the responses of macro-aggregates to shocks. Leverage rises during expansions, and when it rises enough it triggers the constraint, causing a Fisherian deflation that reduces credit and the price and quantity of collateral assets. Output and factor allocations fall because access to working capital financing is also reduced. Precautionary saving makes Sudden Stops low probability events nested within normal cycles, as observed in the data. (JEL E21, E23, E32, E44, G01, O11, O16)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:100:y:2010:i:5:p:1941-66
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-26