Original sin and the great depression

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Economics
Year: 2023
Volume: 145
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Do exchange rate movements matter for how markets price foreign currency denominated sovereign bonds? High-frequency bond price data from 1931 show that depreciation against the dollar/gold was associated with elevated risk premia on US dollar/gold public debt. We use a theoretical model to illustrate how foreign currency debt influences exchange rate policy and foreign currency bond prices. We use these theoretical results, the timing of sterling's devaluation in September 1931, and historically determined fundamentals to identify the impact of exchange rate policy on hard-currency bond yields in the Great Depression.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:inecon:v:145:y:2023:i:c:s0022199623001009
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26